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The Middle East

From Chapter 4: The Middle East

The Gulf is the closest big market India sells into: three days by sea, dollar-pegged currencies, and buyers who often share your language. That is why most exporters start there, and why the 2026 shipping shock caught so many unprepared. The corridor is not one market. Each state has its own gatekeepers, from conformity marks to halal recognition to agency rules that can bind you to one local partner for years. Geography matters as much as demand: which port you ship through decides whether a closure strands your cargo. This hub gathers the headline position for each Gulf economy, the agreement status that applies to it, and the one obstacle to price in before you send a quote.

Key facts

UAE exports
36.63 billion dollars FY 2024-25; second only to the United States
UAE trade, 2026 closure
fell about 35% on routing disruptions
UAE agreement
CEPA in force since May 2022; 97% of tariff lines duty-free
Oman agreement
CEPA in force since June 2026; 98% of tariff lines duty-free
Gulf bloc (GCC)
talks with the full bloc have gained momentum; no bloc agreement yet
Agent rules
several Gulf states have agency laws that make a distributor hard to remove

As of October 2026

Dashboard

The Middle East: country dashboard
Dashboard printed in the first edition; the facts above are current as of October 2026. Open full size
Download the dashboard